Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.001583 0.001645 0.001709 0.001781 0.001858 0.001940 0.002032
2025-07-20 0.001474 0.001563 0.001658 0.001768 0.001893 0.002031 0.002196
2025-07-27 0.001407 0.001515 0.001634 0.001776 0.001944 0.002138 0.002384
2025-08-03 0.001343 0.001463 0.001597 0.001763 0.001965 0.002207 0.002527
2025-08-10 0.001305 0.001436 0.001586 0.001776 0.002014 0.002309 0.002720
2025-08-17 0.001261 0.001399 0.001560 0.001767 0.002032 0.002373 0.002865
2025-08-24 0.001219 0.001361 0.001529 0.001749 0.002037 0.002416 0.002984
2025-08-31 0.001206 0.001357 0.001539 0.001781 0.002107 0.002551 0.003250
2025-09-07 0.001183 0.001339 0.001530 0.001788 0.002142 0.002640 0.003457
2025-09-14 0.001151 0.001309 0.001503 0.001770 0.002142 0.002676 0.003583
2025-09-21 0.001119 0.001277 0.001473 0.001744 0.002129 0.002691 0.003674
2025-09-28 0.001094 0.001253 0.001452 0.001731 0.002131 0.002728 0.003808
2025-10-05 0.001051 0.001206 0.001400 0.001673 0.002068 0.002662 0.003752
2025-10-12 0.001031 0.001188 0.001386 0.001667 0.002080 0.002716 0.003925
2025-10-19 0.001019 0.001179 0.001383 0.001677 0.002116 0.002810 0.004193
2025-10-26 0.001000 0.001160 0.001367 0.001666 0.002119 0.002850 0.004360
2025-11-02 0.000990 0.001154 0.001366 0.001678 0.002158 0.002955 0.004685
2025-11-09 0.000974 0.001138 0.001352 0.001670 0.002165 0.003002 0.004893
2025-11-16 0.000955 0.001119 0.001334 0.001654 0.002158 0.003025 0.005044
2025-11-23 0.000953 0.001122 0.001345 0.001682 0.002225 0.003191 0.005608
2025-11-30 0.000944 0.001114 0.001342 0.001689 0.002255 0.003289 0.006025
2025-12-07 0.000928 0.001097 0.001324 0.001673 0.002247 0.003310 0.006220
2025-12-14 0.000910 0.001077 0.001303 0.001650 0.002225 0.003302 0.006326